The Orange Update

Predicting How Many Goals The Flyers Will Score

claude-giroux

As the summer winds down and fall approaches, hockey season is not so far away (we hope). There has been some talk that the Flyers, we’ve heard this before, will not score enough goals. With the losses of Jaromir Jagr and James van Riemsdyk will the Flyers be short on goals? I don’t think they will. Keep in mind that JVR only posted 11 goals in 2011-2012 and while Jagr registered 19, I feel that number is replaceable by the maturation of Brayden Schenn and Sean Couturier. The orange and black were able to score 264 goals last season, so expect a small drop this year, but nothing to be alarmed about. Today I want to look at what is a reasonable goal total for each player going in to the 2012-2013 season, assuming that a full season is played.

Forwards:

Danny Briere (16 goals 2011-2012): Danny Briere had a frustrating season missing 12 games due to injury/suspension and one prolonged goaless streak. I suspect Danny gets back to a respectable number this season. I’m giving him 24 goals.

Sean Couturier (13 goals 2011-2012): Sean had an eye opening rookie season more so for his defensive play than his goal scoring but I’m looking at solid jump from 13 goals to 18 goals for the second year center with more ice time.

Claude Giroux (28 goals 2011-2012): Emerging as one of the leagues best players last season Claude missed out on 30 by just two goals but he’ll get there without much trouble this season. Losing Jagr may hurt in the short term but Jake Voracek is acapable replacement. 33 goals for Giroux.

Scott Hartnell (37 goals 2011-2012): After a slow start Scott was able to put together his finest NHL season play along side Giroux and Jagr I expect his goal total to decrease this year. 32 goals for Hartnell.

Matt Read (24 goals 2011-2012): Read was unexpected surprise for Flyers fans last season, he may have even surprised himself a bit. 24 goals is quite a year and while I don’t see a significant drop he won’t equal 24. Matt Read scores 22.

Zach Rinaldo (2 goals 2011-2012): Known more for his fighting than goal scoring Rinaldo found the net twice. He’ll find the net twice again this season.

Brayden Schenn (12 goals 2011-2012): The early part of Schenn’s first season in Philadelphia didn’t go as planned. Injuries set him back and he finally notched his first tally in the Winter Classic (not bad for a first goal). Schenn suited up for 54 games last season if he can stay healthy he’s a 20 goal guy in 2012-2013.

Wayne Simmonds (28 goals 2011-2012): A breakout season for Simmonds in his first with the Flyers. His goal total will drop a few in the upcoming campaign but I suspect his point total rises. 24 goals for Simmer.

Max Talbot (19 goals 2011-2012): Max shattered his career high in goals in 11-12 but don’t expect that to be a regular thing for him as he’s usually only an 8-12 goal type player. Though if he continues killing penalties with Giroux he could pop in a few shorthanded goals. I’ll say Max grabs 13.

Jake Voracek (18 goals 2011-2012): Jake had a solid first year in Philadelphia coming over from Columbus. 18 was a career high for him and now with the opportunity to play on the top line with Hartnell and Giroux I’m looking for Jake to fire more pucks and post more goals. 25 goals is big prediction but Jake coming on strong late in the year and the playoffs sold me.

Eric Wellwood (5 goals 2011-2012): The younger brother of Winnipeg’s Kyle Wellwood, Eric showed lightning fast skating ability and was able to pop one in every now and then. He’s still very much buried in the lineup however and is looking at a 4th line role this season. I’ll say he scores 6 goals.

Harry Zolnierczyk (3 goals 2011-2012): Harry “Z” was mainly used as an injury call-up last season and that’s the role he’ll play again this season. For that reason alone I’m predicting Harry getting just one goal.

Defense:

Marc-Andre Bourdon (4 goals 2011-2012): Marc-Andre was an injury fill-in who earned a spot in his own right last season before injuries claimed him. In 45 games Bourdon grabbed 4 goals, a nice number for a rookie defenseman. Depending on how many games he plays I can see him equaling his previous total.

Braydon Coburn (4 goals 2011-2012): In his first 2 full seasons with the Flyers Coby was able to notch 9 and 7 goals respectively but since has dropped down a bit playing a much more effective defensive role. I see a small rise in goals for Braydon with 6.

Nicklas Grossmann (0 goals 2011-2012): Grossmann didn’t score a single goal for Dallas and Philadelphia last season I don’t see much of a change as Nick isn’t a point scorer. I’ll say he scores at least once.

Erik Gustaffsson (1 goal 2011-2012): Erik appeared in 30 games for the Flyers last season scoring one goal. If he plays a full schedule 3 goals is a good number for Gus.

Andreas Lilja (0 goals 2011-2012): Lilja isn’t a point scorer. I’ll say that doesn’t change at age 37. It was also announced today that Lilja will be out 4 months following hip surgery.

Brandon Manning (0 goals 2011-2012): Manning appeared in just 4 games for Philadelphia. Unless an injury occurs he won’t see significant playing time.

Andrej Meszaros (7 goals 2011-2012): Sadly Meszaros won’t have the opportunity to match or beat his goal total. He is expected to be out until the playoffs (or longer) with a torn achilles tendon.

Kimmo Timonen (4 goals 2011-2012): Kimmo saw a small drop in goals from the previous two seasons. He is also showing his age but can still be counted on to play big minutes five on five and the power play. 5 goals for Timonen.

Added Free Agents/Trades

Ruslan Fedotenko (9 goals 2011-2012): Fedotenko is a welcome addition to the Flyers lineup adding leadership and plenty of Stanley Cup experience but his production is on the decline. Still I suspect Feds puts up improved numbers this season. 12 goals.

Bruno Gervais (6 goals 2011-2012): Gervais is entering his first season with the Flyers coming over from Tampa Bay as free agent. He notched a career high 6 goals with the lightning last year but I don’t see him matching that number. He’ll score 3.

Luke Schenn (2 goals 2011-2012): Schenn is also coming into his first season with the Flyers. In 2009-2010 and 2010-2011 he scored 5 goals. I would expect him to get back to that number. 5 goals.

So If you add it all up it equals 256 goals for the Flyers in 2012-2013 a small 8 goal drop off from 2011-2012.

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